What Happens to ETH If It Becomes PoS?

The first stage of the transition to Ethereum 2.0, the Beacon Chain, has already begun.

  • The first stage of the transition to Ethereum 2.0, the Beacon Chain, has already begun.
  • ETH 2.0 will increase accessibility, performance, decentralization, and scalability.
  • Regular users wonโ€™t be affected as existing ETH will carry over.
  • Despite uncertainty over the 2.0 roadmap, itโ€™s likely to inspire a large ETH rally.

Ethereumโ€™s move from a Proof of Work (PoW) to a Proof of Stake (PoS) consensus system has raised questions about its effect on ETH prices since its first formal proposal in 2018. The initial release of this system in December last year, the โ€˜Beacon Chain,โ€™ only increased speculation, financial or otherwise.

Rather than expending resources (i.e. ASICs and electricity) to mine blocks, Proof of Stake users โ€œvalidate block transactions according to how many coins they hold,โ€ by definition. Project lead Vitalik Buterin has been pushing for PoS since Ethereumโ€™s early days as it โ€œoffers more security for the same cost,โ€ among other improvements.

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As the shift will only affect the internal workings of Ethereum, the platform states that the existing ETH of HODLers, dApp creators, and regular traders โ€œwill not need changing or upgrading.โ€ Any changes to the coinโ€™s price will rest solely on the new features 2.0 brings.

PoS Is Attractive to New Users

Currently, Ethereum โ€œuses the equivalent energy of a house for 2.8 days per transaction.โ€ ETH 2.0, however, is estimated to reduce this figure by up to 99.95%. Traders, regulators, and high-profile investors like Elon Musk, who were previously dissuaded by the environmental damage of Bitcoin, are likely to be swayed by a โ€˜greenโ€™ cryptocurrency.

As the first major cryptocurrency to adopt PoS, ETH 2.0 would also receive extra attention for the convenience of staking compared to PoW. As ETHโ€™s official documentation notes, โ€œyou don’t need elite hardware to stand a chance of creating new blocks,โ€ whereas mining is, by design, computationally taxing. Regular people will be able to stake ETH to earn money, increasing Ethereumโ€™s broad appeal beyond the current crypto niche.

Scalability Means Usability

Most relevant for existing users is the projected increase in scalability. A significant hindrance to Bitcoinโ€™s wide adoption has been its low transactions/second rate (between 3.3โ€“7, according to research done in 2017). According to a 2021 report from the Bank of America, Bitcoin โ€œremains limited by its complex settlement process,โ€ and as a result, it saw โ€œno good reason to own BTCโ€ aside from simple value appreciation.

In contrast, Ethereum 2.0 can already process roughly 30 TPS, and, in a recent podcast, Buterin has floated figures of โ€œup to 100,000 to 1 million per secondโ€ TPS. Increased scalability will markedly improve quality of life, reduce waiting times, and increase ETHโ€™s total liquidity. For the NASDAQ, this boost, alongside the other benefits of PoS, make ETH a โ€œbargain to buy now.โ€

On the Flipside

  • The timeframe for the rollout is uncertain, but seems imminent.
  • A post-merge hard fork will inherently create volatility.
  • Invested miners may drive a bull rush to ETC pre-Merge as rewards dry up.

Rollout Uncertainty

Ethereumโ€™s transition to PoS has already taken several years, and the roadmap detailing future updates isnโ€™t set in stone.

A ray of hope came in April, when ETH researchers successfully launched a private โ€œEth1-Eth2 post-merge test network,โ€ suggesting that the long-awaited merge would be ready sooner than anticipated. Similarly, platforms like Coinbase and Binance are already offering services for ETH 2.0 staking, which is indicative of industry confidence for only minor delays to the rollout.

Another source of concern is that ETH will almost certainly receive a hard fork after the move to PoS, in what Buterin called, at the Scaling Ethereum Summit, a โ€œpost-merge cleanup.โ€

As Investopedia remarks, any โ€œhard fork can have a profound impact,โ€ and almost always leads to high volatility. While ETHโ€™s Berlin hard fork earlier this year sent prices to a record high, the post-merge fork is likely to be particularly divisive, especially among high-end miners.

How Will Miners React?

ETH 2.0โ€™s full release will drastically reduce the rewards of traditional mining, likely prompting miners invested in high-end equipment to move en masse. Their most likely destination is, of course, Ethereum Classic. As angel investor Adam Cochran noted in April,

โ€œ...when we move to ETH 2.0 PoS weโ€™re going to see a lot of wealthy miners shift to another PoW chain and ETC would be an easy narrative to put their wealth behind.โ€

Speculation has also been prompted by EIP 1559, a โ€œproposal to reform the Ethereum fee market.โ€ Released a few days ago, the proposal burned $174M worth of transaction fees in its first day. Though intended to โ€˜burnโ€™ Ethereumโ€™s notoriously high fees, EIP 1559 has also courted anger from miners for slashing their revenues, even prompting a โ€˜show of forceโ€™ in April, before later backing down.

Though its improvements to blockchain utility and the excellent PR of its lessened environmental impact are positive signs, ETH investors should expect volatility as updates continue and miners present further challenges to 2.0โ€™s rollout.

This article was submitted by Cihat Jan Yilmaz. If you want YOUR article to be published on DailyCoin, please send us your submissions to hello@dailycoin.com!

This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Milko Trajcevski

Milko Trajcevski is a DailyCoin news reporter, mainly focused on Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and their founders (Vitalik Buterin and Charles Hoskinson). Milko is an avid follower of crypto and blockchain technology and has written thousands of articles on the subjects. He finds joy in transforming complex issues into written content that anyone can understand. Milko has used and analyzed numerous exchanges, such as Coinbase, FTX, and Binance. He also closely follows all of the latest news around the largest decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Location: Skopje, Macedonia

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