Hedera’s Hashgraph (HBAR) just topped all Real World Asset (RWA) focused peers in developer activity. Dwelling around $0.12 HBAR Network’s native token kicked off 2026 with a 21% run to hit $0.133, but since had backtracked to the coin’s previously-claimed support levels.
RWA Darlings Poised For Late-Year Breakout
With HBAR’s price now consolidating at $0.12, market charterers are drawing attention to the double bottom pattern that emerged around $0.10. Despite the bullish implications for utility altcoins like Hedera (HBAR), Stellar (XLM) & Ripple (XRP), seasoned traders like Cosmic expect HBAR’s price to test the major demand zone of $0.05 in Q1 of 2026.
On a brighter note, Cosmic forecasts a “massive breakout” for utility coins, specifically those that participate in the towering RWA market & are naturally compatible with SWIFT’s new ISO 20022 global financial messaging standard. Among the aforementioned digital assets, all are inherently compatible with ISO 20022, but Ripple (XRP) stands out for two reasons.
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XRP’s Ledger is widely used across cross-border markets already, garnering billions of dollars in trading volumes a day. On top of that, the #3 altcoin sports a humongous $129 billion in market cap, substantially more than HBAR Network’s $5.9 billion or Stellar’s current $7.5B market cap.
However, Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is technically the fastest out of the bunch. The popular DLT network edges out all competitors in developer activity, per Santiment’s data. Able to handle 10,000 transactions per second (TPS), HBAR Network could technically soak up a bigger part of SWIFT’s $155 trillion annualized trading volume.
HBAR’s Key Metrics Tell a Very Different Story
Notably, both HBAR & XRP are currently being tested on SWIFT’s traditional payment rails as the banking giant is seeking for immediate settlement. While analysts paint a pull-back before a breakout, technical instruments suggest otherwise.
Hedera’s double price bottom at $0.10 promises an upswing towards the confluent $0.14 resistance level, unseen in over a month. With HBAR’s whales in conflicted opinion as well, it makes sense that most large investors would continue to hibernate in ‘wait-&-see’ mode with geopolitical shenanigans constantly rattling the crypto & stock markets.
Crossing above the Smoothed Moving Average (SMA) trend-line (depicted in purple color) will be crucial to reach that target, but HBAR’s near-term sentiment heavily depends on whales. Right now, the profit-taking is prevalent among big-time players, judging from the negative Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) figures on the 4-hour charts.
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Short-term it’s cautious to bearish due to the resistance wall and likely sideways grind, but the big-picture view remains very bullish, with the current pain setting up exceptional long-term rewards for those who stay patient.
The biggest risks are that support holds stronger than expected (preventing the deep $0.05 dip) or a broader market sell-off delays the anticipated Q4 breakout and the 2027 upside.
