Bitcoin Mega Bull Ahead? Exchange Balances Keep Plummeting

The sharp decline in Bitcoin exchange balances indicates expectations for a substantial price surge on the horizon.

Woman from a white cliff watching a Bitcoin on the sky disintegrating.
Created by Gabor Kovacs from DailyCoin
  • Investor sentiment has flipped bullish.
  • Bitcoin exchange balances continue to sink.
  • Bitcoiners were bullish well before the central banks pivoted.

The Fed and the People’s Bank of China have embraced monetary expansion, delivering a much-needed boost to crypto markets. This renewed optimism has driven $90 billion in inflows this week, pushing token prices higher.

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Amid the renewed optimism, Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, suggesting Bitcoiners remain as bullish as ever.

Bitcoin Exodus from Exchanges Accelerates

Bitcoin surged to an 8-week high of $65,800 on Thursday, pushing market sentiment firmly into greed territory, according to the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. At the same time, Bitcoin exchange balances continue to decline.

Bitcoin held on exchanges trending lower, per Coinglass.
Bitcoin held on exchanges, per Coinglass

The Bitcoin held on exchanges currently sits at 2.34 million, reflecting a 2% drop since the start of September and a 14% decrease from the year-to-date peak of 2.72 million on February 13, per Coinglass data.

BTC exchange outflows suggest that investors choose to store their Bitcoin in private wallets or cold storage instead of selling, likely in anticipation of future price gains.

As holders transfer their coins into storage, the exchange supply decreases, potentially providing a price tailwind. This trend highlights a strong belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.

Investor Confidence

While recent price gains have renewed bullishness, the trend of falling BTC exchange balances indicates that Bitcoin holders were optimistic well before central banks pivoted to stimulus measures.

The year-to-date peak of BTC held on centralized exchanges occurred on February 13, and since then, balances have consistently declined, punctuated by several sharp outflows.

This pattern suggests that Bitcoiners anticipated price appreciation even after March’s $74,000 all-time high. However, this trend may also reflect the commitment of die-hard believers who refuse to sell their BTC.

On the Flipside

  • Growing awareness of self-custody and centralized exchange risks may contribute to falling exchange balances.
  • While a declining exchange balance is often seen as bullish, it can also indicate a lack of new retail investors entering the market.

Why This Matters

The pattern of Bitcoin leaving exchanges signals unwavering investor confidence in the leading cryptocurrency.

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This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Samuel Wan

Samuel Wan is a reporter at DailyCoin covering market affairs. Samuel's has holdings in Bitcoin and Cardano, with other minor holdings across the market.

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