Hedera is sitting at a familiar technical juncture: a strong multi-month rally has stalled at resistance, a measured Fib level has been tagged, and two well-followed analysts are now outlining very different near-term paths.
Structure that got us here
ChartNerdTA’s latest update keeps the focus on the bigger picture. HBAR has already bounced more than 100% from its multi-year ascending support.
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That rally carried price directly into the 0.382 Fibonacci pocket the analyst mapped out nearly two weeks ago. Exactly the same zone that also aligns with early 2026 resistance.
ChartNerd is treating the current pullback as expected rather than broken. The key reference remains the multi-year ascending support sitting below; a clean retest of that rising level would, in this framework, simply reset the structure for the next leg.
The British crypto chart analyst had previously noted that the 2026 path has so far mirrored elements of the 2022 cycle bottom structure, where a similar advance into the 0.382 area was followed by a higher-low base before the larger expansion.
Egrag’s high-conviction
While ChartNerd is watching the retrace, Egrag Crypto has put a precise number and date on the board: $0.26 by November 26.
He backed the call with a public 10,000 HBAR wager for anyone willing to take the other side. That kind of specific, time-bound target sits well above current levels and implies a relatively rapid recovery and extension once the present consolidation resolves.
Two maps, one asset
One view treats the rejection at the 0.382 / early-2026 resistance as a natural pause inside a larger uptrend, with ascending support as the area of interest on any deeper pullback.
Conversely, the French analyst’s view skips the intermediate noise and projects a clear move to $0.26 before the end of November.
Both can coexist in the near-term. A retrace toward the rising support would not automatically invalidate a later push toward Egrag’s target; it would simply determine the entry quality and the time required to actually get there.
What counts from here
- Whether HBAR holds the multi-year ascending support on any further weakness
- How price behaves on the next test of the 0.382 Fib and early-2026 resistance zone
- Whether the November window gives the kind of momentum Egrag’s betting on
HBAR has already delivered a triple-digit bounce from long-term support. The chart is now deciding whether that advance was the opening act or a complete move.
ChartNerd is watching the retest. Egrag is watching the calendar. $0.26 by November 26 is the number that has been put in writing.
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