Bitrue’s Research Institute just examined the XRP versus USDT trading pair from January 2023 through November 8, 2026, spotting a familiar oversold position. Trading 55.2% below its yearly peak of $2.58, XRP’s price setup now flashes ‘24’ on the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
That’s a deeply-oversold condition, meaning that XRP’s price is, in theory, under-valued against the broader market. On the 4-hour XRP price charts, XRP’s currently working band is between $1.03 to $1.18, the research notes. The altcoin’s also trading below the midline Bollinger Band (BOLL) of $1.14.
XRP’s Edge Is Real, But Uneven: Bears Dictate Micro Trend
That creates unrealized potential due to the downward bias. An upswing above $1.18 “can quickly make short-inventory assumptions outdated”, states the report. This aligns with the AI-band top by Bitrue’s artificial intelligence (AI) based assistant. This empowers a look at XRP’s price structure without sentimental bias.
The report sets out three signals to watch: volume on up days overtaking volume on down days, on-balance volume turning higher & a daily close above $1.18. In August 2026, the exact shift in volume arrived on the same day as XRP’s price rebound, which is why Bitrue Research Institute’s study recommends watching these signals together.
The outlined three-month setup works like a swiss clock: with the 14-day RSI below chasing down levels below 35, that’s usually bullish for XRP. The study showed 18 events, including 17 with a complete 90-day follow-up window, when XRP finished higher after 90 days in 70.6% of those cases, exceeding the 53.5% in positive-return frequency.
Millionaires Climb Higher; Broader-Whale Sentiment Mixed
Wallets holding at least 1 million XRP have also climbed to a 2026 high. However, the smaller time-frames showcased a divided sentiment between the top-tier investors. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) dipped below zero, flashing from -0.09 to -0.17 on one-hour & four-hour XRP price charts, respectively. That exposes the majority of whales selling XRP.
That kind of crypto whale sentiment has lowered the entrance to the XRP rich-list, as previously reported by DailyCoin. The altcoin’s now trading well below the SuperTrend price range between $1.27 to $1.30, while the research concluded that a median dip of 21% typically preceded a broader rebound rally.
With that structure not being immediate, a test of $1 isn’t far-fetched.
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