Stellar’s $1 Breakout Looms: Can ETF Blast XLM To The Moon?

$1 target back in play? Stellar Lumens becomes a strong contender for a spot in the Made-in-America crypto ETF.

Astronaut boy showing thumbs up in Stellar (XLM) land.
Created by Kornelija Poderskytė from DailyCoin

Stellar’s (XLM) latest venture into the $24 billion Real World Asset (RWA) market is starting to bear fruit. Running up the global crypto ranks with a 296% price rally in yearly terms, XLM is now placed at the 18th spot, breaching past $12 billion in total market cap.

Promising XLM Chart Pattern Challenges Bearish Sentiment

Now, the inverse Head ‘n’ Shoulders structure suggests that XLM’s price is bound for another dip before breaking out to $1 for the first time ever, highlights analyst Ali Martinez. Currently residing in the right shoulder of this structure, Stellar Lumens (XLM) would have to keep above $0.33 for this to play out.

Meanwhile, Stellar’s (XLM) neckline level resides at $0.50, but the present market sentiment suggests that profit-taking is still prevalent. Key indicators like the CMF index dwelled considerably below zero, hitting -0.10 at the time of publication. Other metrics like the Bull Bear Power (BBP) index & the Parabolic SAR also constituted a crypto bear takeover.

Amid Bitcoin’s (BTC) tumble below $109.5K, the made-in-America altcoin Stellar (XLM) registers a 10% drop in price in monthly terms, but there’s some light at the end of the tunnel. Canary Capital, a popular crypto hedge fund, just filed for a mixed altcoin exchange traded-fund (ETF), consisting of alternative crypto currencies made in the United States (USA).

Will Stellar Lumens (XLM) Make It To The Crypto ETF Roster?

Luckily, Stellar (XLM) makes this list as the 5th largest crypto currency, joining the likes of Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA) & Chainlink (LINK). According to Bloomberg’s top ETF specialist Eric Balchunas, the market observers shall be bracing themselves for “ETFs to try every combo imaginable” after the series of success in BTC & ETH ETFs since 2024.

That being said, XLM competes with other popular Layer-1 altcoins in the ETF field, as Ethereum (ETH) is the only altcoin with an ETF market running so far. Lacking on trading volume, XLM chain collected $320 million on Tuesday, while lower-ranked competitors like Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) & Polkadot (DOT) inked at least $35M more on Spot markets.

On The Flipside

  • Bloomberg’s analysts noted that the line-up of this mixed crypto ETF could be switched up at any given time, so XLM could possibly be excluded.

Why This Matters

Stellar Lumens is a top player in the cross-border payments field, making altcoin attractive for long-term investors seeking to bank on collaborative initiatives between traditional & digital finance.

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People Also Ask:

What’s driving XLM’s $1 breakout potential?

New partnerships, like a recent European bank deal, could propel XLM past $1 from its current $0.39 range.

What’s the current price of Stellar Lumens?

As of 09:48 PM EEST, August 26, 2025, XLM is at $0.3932 with a $12. billion market cap (CoinMarketCap).

Could an ETF really happen for XLM?

Rumors suggest BlackRock might file for a Stellar ETF by Q1 2026, pending regulatory approval, which could skyrocket demand.

What risks could derail this?

Crypto token unlocks or regulatory rejection could drop XLM’s price below $0.30 support, potentially inducing selling coercion.

What’s the upside if it works?

A successful breakout and ETF could see XLM hit $1.50-$2 by year-end, with $5 remaining a possible target in the long-term.

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This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Tadas Klimasevskis

Tadas Klimaševskis is a DailyCoin Journalist, covering memecoins & latest developments. Tadas has moderate holdings in SHIB, HBAR, LTC, MATIC and a selection of low-cap meme currencies.

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