Is Polygon (MATIC) Headed for $1 Owing to “Disbelief Rally”?

With only 9% holders in profit, POL token will have to conquer multiple resistance levels to manifest the $1 dream.

Man thinking about the crypto candlechart
Created by Kornelija Poderskytė from DailyCoin
  • Polygon’s freshly revamped native token gets a 40% boost in two weeks.
  • Unseen since April 1, the $1 goal for MATIC now relies on “disbelief rally”.
  • CoinGlass data uncovers the short-selling pressure on Polygon (MATIC).

The recently revamped Polygon blockchain lags behind other major-cap altcoins in the recent rally. Infused with crypto-friendly results of the United States Presidential elections, this bull run has produced multiple all-time highs for Bitcoin (BTC). Still, the flagship digital asset wasn’t the only one sparking solid gains.

Most blue-chip altcoins like Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR), Stellar (XLM), and Ripple (XRP) tacked on triple-digit upswings to claim new quarterly price peaks. In contrast, Polygon’s native crypto MATIC faced a few months of turbulence in this bull run and picked up smaller gains.

Disbelief in MATIC to Bear Fruit in POL Rally?

With a 40% uptick in 14 days, Polygon’s POL token burst out into a new monthly peak at $0.46. However, it was rejected to $0.43 before hitting the $0.50 resistance barrier. Layer-2’s native altcoin is still a distance away from the three-month peak of $0.5777, scored on August 25, 2024.

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In addition, the recent Polygon (MATIC) breakout serves as a favorable condition for a “disbelief rally,” as noted by the seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez. Simply put, “disbelief rallies” occur when the majority of token holders are still in the red, in which case skepticism thrives.

The situation comes as Polygon (MATIC) is still 66% away from its all-time high, scored on March 13, 2024. The $1.29 pinnacle might be hard to reclaim, as the refurbished POL coin witnesses nine resistance levels, with just 9% of MATIC holders at a profit after the correction to slightly below $0.43. 

Are Bullish Signs Really Pilling Up on POL?

As Polygon’s native POL crypto bumps into a phased consolidation, two on-chain signals recently flipped bullish. In a follow-up analysis, crypto pundit Ali Martinez declared Polygon to be ready for one of the “most hated rallies” in crypto, naming the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (StochRSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) as key arguments.

Price trends for Polygon (MATIC) based on a 4-hour interval
Polygon (MATIC) price trend based on a 4-hour interval

Upon further research by DailyCoin, it was established that the StochRSI dwells between 13.86 and 12.43 on the 4-hour charts, solidifying the pro analyst’s stance on Polygon (MATIC). However, leveraged crypto traders tend to mostly short the POL token, according to CoinGlass data. In the latest 24-hour window, the long versus short ratio has turned to 0.89, with longs taking up 90% of MATIC liquidations on Derivatives markets.

On the Flipside

  • Contrary to other major-cap altcoins, Polygon’s native crypto POL, a.k.a. MATIC, is 47% down by Year-to-Date (YTD) measurements.
  • Polygon  L2’s DeFi ecosystem’s total value locked (TVL) is $1.01b, over nine times less than the all-time record set three years ago.

Why This Matters

Trader psychology plays a pivotal part in the market, while technical metrics provide a level-headed perspective on the price fluctuations of the altcoin.

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This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Tadas Klimasevskis

Tadas Klimaševskis is a DailyCoin Journalist, covering memecoins & latest developments. Tadas has moderate holdings in SHIB, HBAR, LTC, MATIC and a selection of low-cap meme currencies.

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