Ethereum’s Bull Flag Eyes $4K—What Will Drive the Next Leg?

Ethereum surged 33% this month, fueling debates about its $4,000 potential as analysts weigh in on its path forward.

Guy trying to climb the Ethereum ladder in a big storm.
Created by Kornelija Poderskytė from DailyCoin
  • Ethereum has surged 33% in 30 days, fueling December forecasts.
  • Analysts have tied Ethereum’s rise to institutional and retail interest.
  • Predictions have targeted $4,000, with concerns over resistance and volatility.

Ethereum’s recent surge has ignited fresh enthusiasm among traders and analysts alike. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has gained 33% over the past month, sparking speculation about whether it could achieve a new all-time high. 

However, uncertainties about whale activity, market resistance, and overall sentiment cast doubt on whether Ethereum’s rally can break past the $4,000 threshold. Despite these concerns, analysts have pointed to several encouraging metrics, including a robust funding rate and undervaluation compared to Bitcoin

Will ETH Smash $4K or Stall Below?

Ethereum’s (ETH) performance has ignited speculation about its future, with analysts debating whether the cryptocurrency could breach its all-time high by year’s end. Currently trading near $3,563, ETH has climbed 33% over the past month, pushing bullish sentiment to the forefront.

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Juan Pellicer, Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, is optimistic but cautious. According to Pellicer, Ethereum’s rally hinges on surpassing the $4,000 resistance. He cites large holders’ accumulation and Bitcoin’s price trajectory as critical factors for this milestone.

“The outlook for Ethereum mirrors Bitcoin’s positive trajectory, with significant potential for an end-of-year rally if it breaks through the previous $4,000 ATH,” Pellicer explained.

However, large holder netflows indicate declining whale accumulation—a potential red flag. A reversal in this trend could reignite Ethereum’s upward momentum, but $4,000 might remain elusive without it.

Ethereum’s Bull Flag Points to a $4K December Push

Brian Quinlivan, Lead Analyst at Santiment, also underscores Ethereum’s funding rates on exchanges like Binance and BitMex. Currently positive, the rates signal long positions dominating short ones—a bullish indicator. Yet, Quinlivan warns that overly positive rates can hinder significant growth. Neutral or short-leaning rates often precede major price jumps.

Julio Moreno from CryptoQuant offers another lens, pointing to the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This metric suggests Ethereum is nearing undervalued territory compared to Bitcoin, reminiscent of its February 2020 positioning—a precursor to its 2021 all-time high rally.

Moreno’s analysis aligns with Ethereum’s technical patterns. The bull flag in its daily charts is a classic indicator of an impending breakout. ETH appears primed for a sustained upward move following a brief consolidation phase.

Despite resistance at $3,600, Ethereum has demonstrated resilience, consistently bouncing back. Should this continue, analysts predict ETH may reach $4,000 in December. A failure, however, could see the cryptocurrency dip to $3,003 before regaining momentum.

Notably, renewed interest in Ethereum futures has further bolstered bullish sentiment. Funding rates remain manageable, indicating room for growth without entering an overheated state. This balance could minimize the risk of sudden corrections, keeping ETH’s trajectory intact.

On the Flipside

  • Ethereum whales have reduced accumulation, which could stall the rally.
  • Overly positive funding rates could limit immediate growth potential.
  • High Bitcoin dominance (58.3%) continues overshadowing Ethereum and altcoin performance.

Why This Matters

As Ethereum navigates the $3,600 resistance, its success or failure will influence market sentiment, potentially driving capital flows across the crypto ecosystem. With funding rates and MVRV ratios signaling a balanced growth opportunity, Ethereum remains pivotal in shaping the narrative for altcoin performance in this bull cycle.

Discover how Stellar’s XLM is making waves, climbing over 187% and setting sights on the $1 milestone. Learn more here:
Stellar’s XLM Climbs Over 187%; Analysts Eye $1 Milestone

Explore why Ripple’s XRP and Stellar’s XLM often mirror each other’s moves and what it means for their future. Read here:
Ripple’s XRP and Stellar’s XLM Link: Why Do They Move in Sync?

This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Kyle Calvert

Kyle Calvert is a reporter for DailyCoin covering all Ripple (XRP) developments and market analysis. Kyle's has major XRP holdings, moderate in Solana and Ethereum, and minor holdings across 20+ other cryptocurrencies.

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