Bitcoin Near $79K as ETF Inflows Return, Risks Remain

ETF inflows provide a temporary boost, but on-chain data hints at broader structural weakness in Bitcoin.

Man jumping of a Bitcoin cliff.
Created by Kornelija Poderskytė from DailyCoin

After a brutal weekend washout, Bitcoin rebounded toward the $79,000 level on Tuesday, recovering from a sharp dip below $75,000 as traders began to look past liquidation-driven selling and reassess broader macro conditions. 

The forced deleveraging that dominated recent sessions showed signs of easing, helping stabilize prices after the market slid to multi-month lows.

Price action remained choppy, but the tone was noticeably calmer. BTC was trading around $78,600 at the time of writing, up over 5% on the day.

Liquidation pressure faded, and U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs saw renewed inflows.

ETF Inflows Return

On Tuesday, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded significant inflows for the first time in more than 10 days. According to data from SoSoValue, total daily net inflows reached nearly $561.9 million on Monday, with Bitcoin trading at an average price of around $78,000.

That marked the strongest daily inflow since mid-January, when U.S. Bitcoin ETFs posted $843.6 million in total net inflows.

Source: SoSoValue

Altcoins Rebound

The stabilization extended beyond Bitcoin. Ether climbed back above $2,340, while major tokens including Solana, BNB, XRP, and Cardano posted gains of roughly 3% to 6% over the past 24 hours, as the forced deleveraging phase cooled.

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization rose nearly 3% to about $2.64 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Despite recent gains, the majority of large-cap tokens have fallen sharply over the past seven days, with declines hitting up to 20%.

Entering the Bear Market?

Market analysts are cautious, noting that Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bear market.

On-chain data from CoinGlass shows losses spreading across the supply, even though prices remain above the realized value. The share of supply in loss has jumped to around 44% and continues to climb, showing a pattern that historically signals the start of prolonged downturns rather than a typical pullback.

Losses are rising without widespread panic, suggesting the market is weakening structurally. Past cycles show that true bottoms often form only after losses expand further and prices compress more deeply. On-chain metrics indicate that downside risk remains, pointing to a potential extended bear phase for Bitcoin.

Why This Matters 

While short-term ETF inflows and a bounce above $78K offer relief, on-chain data shows structural weakness in Bitcoin, signaling that downside risk and a potential prolonged bear phase remain.

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People Also Ask:

What is a Bitcoin ETF?

A Bitcoin ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) allows investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the cryptocurrency.

What does “supply in loss” mean?

Supply in loss refers to the percentage of Bitcoin held at a price below the current market value. Higher values often indicate market stress.

How can on-chain metrics indicate market risk?

On-chain metrics track blockchain data such as supply distribution, wallet activity, and realized price. Changes in these can reveal structural weakness or potential reversals.

What is a bear market in crypto?

A bear market occurs when cryptocurrency prices experience prolonged declines, often accompanied by increased selling pressure and investor caution.

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This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Simona Ram

Simona Ram is the senior journalist at DailyCoin, focusing on in-depth investigations of the cryptocurrency sector. Simona has minor holdings in Bitcoin.

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