Bitcoin Resilient as Iran War Threatens Global Markets

Despite broader risk‑off pressures from rising oil prices and stock market weakness, Bitcoin holds above key support.

KuCoin surrounded by hot lava.
Created by Kornelija Poderskytė from DailyCoin

Bitcoin is stabilizing above $65,000 on Monday after a volatile weekend that saw crude oil prices surge and equity futures slide following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and Tehran’s retaliatory actions.

The intensification of conflict around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for about one‑fifth of the world’s oil supply, has rattled global markets and lifted energy prices.

Crude oil prices jumped sharply over the weekend, with Brent rising as much as 13% and U.S. WTI briefly hitting $75 a barrel before easing. At the same time, futures for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all fell, reflecting investor caution amid rising economic and inflation risks.

Panic Selling Hits Crypto Derivatives

Cryptocurrency markets mirrored the broader risk‑off mood. Total crypto market capitalization declined as traders unwound leveraged positions amid heightened uncertainty.

Data from CryptoQuant showed a spike in panic-driven sell orders on Saturday, with roughly $1.8 billion in derivative sell volume within an hour, and a marked drop in their derivatives pressure index, signifying extreme seller dominance and short-term risk aversion.

Over the past 24 hours, markets have remained subdued: crypto market cap dropped about 1.3% to $2.28 trillion as liquidity tightened, and approximately $358.7 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, with most of that tied to long exposure. 

Bitcoin: Resilient but Sensitive to Macro Risk

Despite macro turbulence, Bitcoin outperformed broader crypto risk assets. BTC has held up better than many altcoins and was trading around $65,900 Monday morning, only 1.7% down over 24 hours. 

However, the inflationary implications of the conflict are now entering the conversation.

Stephen Coltman, Head of Macro at crypto asset management firm 21Shares, said global markets are monitoring whether Iran’s remaining leadership will quickly negotiate a deal with the U.S., as happened in Venezuela, or whether the region is entering a more prolonged period of instability.

“Wars are generally inflationary, driving up commodity prices and widening fiscal deficits,” he noted, adding that Bitcoin’s weekend recovery reflects its appeal as a hedge against rising inflation.

“Despite an initial knee‑jerk selloff when the conflict began, it makes sense that we have subsequently seen Bitcoin prices recover over the weekend given it too benefits from higher inflation expectations.”

Reportedly, Bitcoin’s near‑term path will depend on how equity markets and energy prices evolve, alongside a cleaner derivatives landscape after recent long liquidations. 

The $64,000–$65,000 range now serves as critical support. A decisive break below could open the door to deeper losses, while stabilization in equities and energy markets may allow BTC to consolidate and attempt a move back toward the $68,000.

Check out DailyCoin’s popular crypto news now:
Six Trillion In the Dark: Has Canton Redrawn Crypto’s Map?
Will XRP Absorb Most Of SWIFT’s Multi-Chain Future Shares?

People Also Ask:

How do oil prices impact Bitcoin?

Oil price spikes can drive inflation expectations and influence macro risk sentiment, which may lead some investors to view Bitcoin as an inflation hedge, affecting demand and price.

Can Bitcoin protect against inflation?

Bitcoin is often seen as a potential hedge against inflation because its supply is capped at 21 million coins, unlike fiat currencies which can be printed.

How does geopolitical conflict affect Bitcoin?

Geopolitical conflicts can increase market uncertainty, prompting some investors to buy Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional market volatility or inflation, while others sell to reduce risk exposure.

DailyCoin's Vibe Check: Which way are you leaning towards after reading this article?
Market Sentiment
50% Bullish

This article is for information purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. Nothing herein shall be construed as financial, legal, or tax advice. Trading forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs pose a considerable risk of loss.

Author
Simona Ram

Simona Ram is the senior journalist at DailyCoin, focusing on in-depth investigations of the cryptocurrency sector. Simona has minor holdings in Bitcoin.

Read more

Subscribe here