Several seasoned Bloomberg analysts have been speculating on Dogecoin’s (DOGE) possible exchange-traded fund (ETF) launch this year, giving a 90% chance of approval by year-end. However, the top dog’s path to the big league is now constrained with a postponement of a decision, made known to the public by SEC yesterday.
Dogecoin ETF Mix-Up Deciphered..
Certainly, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) reserved their right to make a decision by the end of the year, but no immediate rejection hints at strong or moderate consideration. Now, SEC’s new Crypto Force will have until late November to evaluate DOGE’s ETF suitability.
Simultaneously, strong community voices on X are screaming about a DOGE ETF hitting the markets on September 11, 2025, which is issued by Rex-Osprey. Despite several crypto media outlets claiming a direct link between the Rex-Osprey ETF and Dogecoin (DOGE), that’s not the case.
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While this Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF is definitely dropping on September 11, 2025, this is not a typical exchange-traded fund (ETF) product like the multiple BTC & ETH ETFs. Rex-Osprey’s ETF relies on the 40 Act to enable investors gain exposure to their Cayman Island arm, which trades and holds DOGE in multiple investment vehicles.
Dubbed by Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas as the start of a “meme coin era” in traditional stock markets, Dogecoin (DOGE) will have to wait a little longer before debuting in the major league directly. As of press time, the top dog crypto was unfazed about this uncertainty, as DOGE remained above the key support structure at $0.24 with a 11.5% 7-day upswing.
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Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF (DOJE) launches Sept 11 via 1940 Act. Spot ETFs await SEC approval, likely by Q1 2026 (90%+ odds, per Bloomberg’s Balchunas/Seyffart).
SEC reviews manipulation and custody risks. DOGE’s commodity status helps, but deadlines extend to November 2025 or early 2026.
Bloomberg analysts estimate 95%+ for spot approval by end of 2026, citing strong filings and liquidity.
Could spark $8B+ inflows, pushing DOGE to $0.40 short-term, $1+ long-term, though volatile.
DOGE’s high liquidity and commodity status give it 90%+ odds, behind Litecoin (95%), ahead of Solana/XRP.
